Reading The Tea Leaves: Trump's insurmountable uphill climb...
|(Image courtesy of 538)|
I had previously predicted that we would start to see the polls tighten as we inched closer to election day, and that still may happen, but as it stands today, Donald Trump has a steep uphill climb to stop Clinton's momentum and overtake her for a win on November 8th. Via the Politico:
"With two weeks to go, Donald Trump’s path to an election night win is almost entirely closed.
Hillary Clinton enters the final 15 days of the race safely ahead in states worth more than 270 electoral votes. Indeed, the suspense of this final stretch is less about whether Trump can turn it around than how many down-ballot Republicans he will drag down with him.
“Trump is done,” said Republican operative Jim Dornan, who advised the New York businessman in the preparatory stages of his campaign last year. “Barring something completely out of the blue, like Hillary being involved in a murder, I don’t see how he wins.”
Short of that, or some sort of Putin ex machina, there is little Trump can do to put himself back into contention after 5 ½ months of missteps and missed opportunities.
“The race is over,” said conservative Iowa radio host Steve Deace, who backed Ted Cruz in the primary. “There is nothing Trump can do. He helped the Democrats convince people he’s crazy, and they’ll always choose corrupt over crazy.”
“Trump cucked himself,” Deace added, throwing an alt-right term of derision for soft conservatives back onto the Republican who has so enthused that white nationalist crowd.
No presidential candidate since the advent of modern polling has overcome the sort of deficits Trump faces nationally — where he trails Clinton by an average of 5.9 points — and in swing states with two weeks to go in an election. In Utah, among the most reliably Republican states in any other cycle, Trump is locked in a tight race with independent Evan McMullin, a conservative Mormon.
With debate season over and the clock running out for significant swings in public opinion to materialize, the baton now goes to the get-out-the-vote operations, where Clinton enjoys an overwhelming advantage."
Even Ham Rove (better known as Turdblossom, or Bush's Brain) agrees that Trump is likely going to lose this election. Via The Hill:
""I don't see it happening," Rove said on "Fox News Sunday."If the GOP nominee "plays an inside straight, he could get it, but I doubt that he's going to be able to play it," Rove added.
Trump appears to be able to secure 186 electoral votes when counting the states where he is leading outside of the polling margin of error or is "thought comfortably put away," Rove said.
"That compares to Romney's 206," Rove said.
"That's Romney's states minus Arizona and North Carolina, where he’s behind, and plus Iowa, where he's ahead. There's only one other -- he's ahead in Ohio by less than one point. That gets him to 214."
"And everything else ranges from 4.3 to 10 points — all the rest of the battleground states," Rove said.
"He would have to not only win two states where he is either only slightly ahead or behind by four, but he would have to pick up states where he is behind, at, or above the national average," Rove said."
|(Image courtesy of Twitter)|
Remember folks, the Right wing has no one to blame for their impending defeat but themselves. They wanted an openly racist, xenophobic bigot, and they got it.
Restoring the honor!